May 2008


Alaskana09 May 2008 11:51 pm

MooseOnly in Alaska would you see an ad like this one… http://anchorage.craigslist.org/zip/673017049.html.  I’m not sure that the ad is legit, or if it is legal to haul off a moose from someone’s yard.  But, it’s funny just the same.

And it’s not the only free moose on Craigslist.  April had another dead moose ad, in the sporting goods section for some reason.

This is the time of year to watch for newborn baby moose.  It’s also the time to stay away from the cow moose.  They will very aggressively defend their newborn calves.  After the calf is still hanging around a year later the cow has enough of them and tends to ignore them.  But if you mess with a newborn…watch out.

If you are planting trees in your yard this spring, you might take some thought to moose.  They love Mountain Ash, and Crab Apple trees.  I’m not sure what they won’t munch on, except evergreens.  But these big tree chompers can sure make landscaping in Alaska a challenge.  This moose in the photo was chewing on an Alder bush in my front yard just 2 weeks ago.  I haven’t seen them eat Cottonwood Trees, but who wants to plant Cottonwoods?

 

Monday Market Memo05 May 2008 03:00 pm

Monday Market Memo for the week ending May 5, 2008.  These are the statistics for the Mat-Su MLS for this week.

Well we went over 800 for our total inventory for the first time since last summer.  That was to be expected.  I think we will stay above this number for the rest of the summer.

 

Average Price DOM
New 52 $260,989 .
Total Active 801 281,666 133
Pending 24 $272,549 70
Closed 34 $228,544 76

There were only 24 pendings this week which is less than I expected.  This weekend has been very busy with a lot of showings.  I expect this activity to turn into pendings this week.  I was surprised at how many high end houses were shown over the weekend.  People were writing offers on these $400K+  houses as well. 

The sun is out, the real estate market is warming up.

Market Trends02 May 2008 08:56 am

Hart Lake Lot 4 Block 3Building lot sales are an indication of the amount of future growth in an area.  If you are going to build a new construction home, you will need to have a lot.

While new construction is a significant portion of the total market, land sales have dropped off faster than has new home building.

Here are the numbers for lot sales for the first 4 months of 2006–2008.  These statistics are for the Palmer-Wasilla Core area.

All Land Sales

 Year

Volume Median Price
2008 47 $37,750
2007 89 $38,500
2006 148 $46,000


 

 

Mat-Valley Acre

Lots from 40,000–50,000 square feet 

 Year

Volume Median Price
2008 21 $31,500
2007 34 $30,000
2006 50 $32,250


 

 

Half-acre development lots

Usually with community water

 Year

Volume Median Price
2008 9 $26,000
2007 15 $46,500
2006 33 $48,500

 

Here is what I think is going on.  You will notice that while the smaller lot median prices have dropped by almost 50%, the larger acre sized building lots have not seen a significant median price drop.  

The speculative building boom has stopped.  Most of the speculative building was happening on the smaller lots.  There still are bunches of these lots out there waiting for the next boom.  Bankers are not loaning on specs.  They want the builder to have a buyer lined up.  Even then, they generally want the builder to front a larger part of the project. 

When a buyer is in the picture ahead of time, they are opting for the larger lots.  They are turning to the acre plus sized lots for their new home.  They know they are paying a little more for the total package but the difference is not much in comparison to the total cost of the project.

The two largest builders are doing most of their work on their own lots.  Since they already own the lots, they don’t show up in the lot statistics even though a new house sale does hit the books.  These two builders are Hall Quality Homes and Spinell Homes.  

So the development boom in the Mat-Su valley is at a pause.  Growth is not over because the Mat-Su is the place to go in Alaska.  But we have enough empty lots for awhile and we need to fill them up with houses before we develop more.  If you are planning to make your killing developing subdivisions, I would wait for a more opportune time.

For Buyers01 May 2008 08:52 am

AshJay and I have been showing a lot of homes in the $175,000–$200,000 price range in Wasilla and Palmer over the past few weeks.

It has become obvious that new construction is a pretty good buy in that price bracket.  We have sold several new homes in the $175,000–$200,000 this year that are really great buys.  The new owners end up with a home with all new appliances, a new roof, new paint…everything new.  And they they paid less than the asking price on many of the 20–30 year old homes on the market.

The downside is that they generally have to wait a little longer to close, usually 4–5 months instead of one or two.  They also have to plant grass for a yard in the summer. But that is a great trade-off for a brand new home that comes with a warranty. 

For example, we are working with a builder that is ready to build a nice ranch style home, just under 1,300 square feet real close to Colony High School.  This house has a two car garage, a split floor plan, (master on opposite side from other two bedrooms), two baths and a two car garage.  Price…..$195,000. 

The house in the above photo is listed with Saundra Hutchins of RE/MAX of Wasilla.  It is 1,384 square feet on a lot off of Spruce near Lucille in Wasilla.  This house is to be built by Goy Construction.  It is a great house for the money…only $188,000.

Than there is Steve Orr Construction.  We have sold lots of his homes over the years.  He specializes in homes that are finished on one floor and unfinished on the other.  A great example is his Maple model.  It’s 2,240 square feet for $177,600.  This is brand new, with a lot, well and septic included.  You can pick your own lot and he will buy it as part of the deal.  There is a $35,000 lot allowance included in the price.  He is represented by Joe Cassidy at RE/MAX of Wasilla.

No matter who the builder is, we represent you…the buyer… in getting your house built to meet your needs.  Just give a call at 907–232–7900 to talk about new construction.

Right now in this price range, new construction is more than 25% of the whole market.  You can see why, many of the smaller builders are putting out a great product for the money. 

If you would like a list of new construction houses that are currently on the market just drop me an email telling me the price range you would like to view and I will send it on to you.

Click on the contact link in the right column to send the note.